Join New England AAPOR for a roundtable to discuss the upcoming 2022 midterm elections. Despite efforts to improve polling methodology following the 2016 election, the 2020 election saw most polls once again underestimate support for Donald Trump and other Republican candidates. How are pollsters reckoning with these most recent misses? How will our polling methods adapt before the next election cycle? One year out from the 2022 midterm elections, our roundtable of experts from some of the nation's top polling organizations will discuss these questions and more. There will be plenty of time for your questions. This was recorded and can be viewed on NEAAPOR YouTube Channel.
NEAAPOR Looking Ahead by Looking Back: Polling in the 2022 Midterm Election Panel:
Moderator: Ariel Edwards-Levy is editor of polling and election analytics at CNN, covering politics and public opinion. Before joining CNN, Ariel was a senior reporter and polling editor at HuffPost. She is a Los Angeles native and a graduate of the University of Southern California.
Panelists:
Courtney Kennedy
Courtney Kennedy is director of survey research at Pew Research Center. Her team is responsible for the design of the Center’s U.S. surveys and maintenance of the American Trends Panel. Her research focuses on nonresponse, weighting, modes of administration and sampling frames. She has served as a co-author on five American Association for Public Opinion Research (AAPOR) task force reports, including chairing the committee that evaluated polling in the 2016 presidential election. Prior to joining Pew Research Center, Kennedy served as vice president of the advanced methods group at Abt SRBI, where she was responsible for designing complex surveys and assessing data quality. Kennedy has a doctorate from the University of Michigan and a master’s degree from the University of Maryland, both in survey methodology. She received bachelor’s degrees from the University of Michigan in statistics and political science. Kennedy has served as AAPOR standards chair and conference chair.
Joshua David Clinton
Josh Clinton, Ph.D. is the Abby and Jon Winkelried Chair and Professor of Political Science at Vanderbilt University in Nashville, TN. He is the Co-Director of the Vanderbilt Poll, a Co-Director of the Center for the Study of Democratic Institutions at Vanderbilt, a fellow at the Center for Effective Lawmaking, an Editor-in-Chief of the Quarterly Journal of Political Science, a Fellow at the Penn Program on Opinion Research and Electoral Studies at Penn, and a Senior Election Analyst for NBC News where he is responsible for making election night projections. He studies issues related to elections, public opinion, and lawmaking using statistical methods. He was also the Chair of the Task Force on Pre-Election Polling in the 2020 Election for the American Association of Public Opinion Research (AAPOR). He received graduate degrees in Political Science, Statistics, and Economics from Stanford University in Stanford, CA after graduating from the University of Rochester in Rochester, NY.
Matt Barreto
Prof. Barreto came to UCLA in 2015 with a joint appointment to Political Science and the César A. Chávez Department of Chicana/o Studies. Until 2015, he was Professor in Political Science at the University of Washington, Seattle, and director of the Washington Institute for the Study of Ethnicity and Race. His research examines the political participation of racial and ethnic minorities in the United States, and he has taught various courses on racial and ethnic politics, Latino politics, the Voting Rights Act, elections, statistics, and American politics. In 2007, Barreto and Segura co-founded Latino Decisions, a political polling firm surveying and analyzing the Latino vote, and in 2021 they launched a new firm, BSP Research which is national leader in surveying Latinos and communities of color. Barreto is currently senior advisor to the Biden White House aligned group Building Back Together, and regularly participates in White House briefings. Barreto received his Ph.D. in Political Science from the University of California, Irvine.
